Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro3 - 2Botafogo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Botafogo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-3 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Cruzeiro | Draw | Botafogo |
45.7% ( 0.75) | 26.86% ( -0.05) | 27.43% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.74% ( -0.16) | 56.26% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.7% ( -0.13) | 77.3% ( 0.13) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% ( 0.3) | 24.56% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% ( 0.41) | 59.04% ( -0.41) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.05% ( -0.64) | 35.94% ( 0.64) |