Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.