Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.