Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.