Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Bahrain
1 - 0
Malaysia

Madan (90+5')
Al Aswad (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kutty Abba (19'), Saad (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Bahrain and Malaysia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: South Korea 3-1 Bahrain
Monday, January 15 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	1	4	3
2	South Korea	1	2	3
3	Bahrain	1	-2	0
4	Malaysia	1	-4	0

Malaysia

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Malaysia 0-4 Jordan
Monday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	1	4	3
2	South Korea	1	2	3
3	Bahrain	1	-2	0
4	Malaysia	1	-4	0

Malaysia look vulnerable on the back end and could be understandably fragile following what transpired in their opening fixture, and that is something we think will work to the advantage of Bahrain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Malaysia had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Malaysia win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahrain.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Malaysia
44.2% ( 0.05)	27.7% ( -0.01)	28.1% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.05% (

58.95% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.57% (

79.43% (

-0)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

0.03)

26.53% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

0.04)

61.73% (

-0.04)

Malaysia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13% (

-0.03)

36.86% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34% (

-0.04)

73.65% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 44.19%

Malaysia 28.1%

Draw 27.7%

Bahrain	Draw	Malaysia
1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.19%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.1%