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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Atletico Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Tucuman

Aquino (62')
Bouzat (23'), Gomez (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coronel (31')
Sanchez (40'), Garcia (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Platense
Tuesday, May 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Atletico Tucuman

While a goalless encounter between these clubs will not surprise, with Velez securing two of their recent 1-0 victories courtesy of strikes after the 80th minute, El Fortin are backed to nick a hard-fought slender win over their low-scoring visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
48.99% (-0.102 -0.1) 28.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 22.84% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.16% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.5% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)63.5% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)82.82% (0.062999999999988 0.06)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)26.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.122 -0.12)61.34% (0.12 0.12)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.004999999999999 0)80.29% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 48.98%
    Atletico Tucuman 22.84%
    Draw 28.16%
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.84%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
100%
Draw
0.0%
Atletico Tucuman
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 8
Tucuman
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Estigarribia (61'), Castro (77'), Romero (86')
Romero (78'), Ordonez (90+6')
Oct 10, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Tucuman
Garcia (8'), Castro (12'), Florentin (18')
Garcia (50'), Osorio (64'), Gomez (90+2')
Coronel (61')
Acosta (16'), Coronel (90+5'), Giani (90+2')
Feb 21, 2023 12.30am
Jul 2, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 6
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Tucuman

Caseres (26'), Florentin (38'), Insua (82'), Brizuela (88')
Capasso (18')
Sandoval (43'), Pereyra (67')
Aug 3, 2021 1.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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