Velez Sarsfield3 - 1Tucuman
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
for
Tuesday, October 3 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
for
We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Atletico Tucuman
El Decano have been indecisive in the attacking third away from home and have not created many scoring opportunities either, and we expect to see a lot more urgency out of the home side on Monday given their current predicament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.44%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
49.02% ( 0.44) | 29.31% ( 0.09) | 21.67% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 37.52% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
