Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente2 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Colon
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
35.79% ( -0.1) | 31.24% ( -0) | 32.97% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 38.94% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.18% ( 0.01) | 68.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.53% ( 0.01) | 86.47% ( -0.01) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.06) | 36.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.62% ( -0.06) | 73.38% ( 0.06) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( 0.08) | 38.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.66% ( 0.08) | 75.33% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente 35.78%
Velez Sarsfield 32.97%
Draw 31.23%
| Independiente | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 35.78% | 0-0 @ 14.12% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.23% | 0-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 32.97% |
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Independiente
Aug 28, 2022 7.30pm
Feb 20, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Independiente
Oct 3, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
3-3
Independiente
Form Guide
