Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Tucuman1 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 1-1 Tucuman
Saturday, February 11 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, February 11 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, February 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
38.25% ( 0.16) | 30.84% ( 0.06) | 30.91% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 39.54% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.06% ( -0.21) | 67.95% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.11% ( -0.14) | 85.9% ( 0.14) |
Atletico Tucuman Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.53% ( -0.01) | 34.48% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( -0.01) | 71.19% ( 0.02) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.34% ( -0.29) | 39.66% ( 0.29) |