Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, July 17 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
for
Thursday, June 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
We said: Rosario Central 1-0 Sarmiento
Although Sarmiento are in good form, having a lengthy break did not come at the most opportune moment, and we believe that long layoff will hamper them against Rosario. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Sarmiento |
49.17% ( -0.16) | 29.52% ( -0.02) | 21.31% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 36.73% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
