We said: Rosario Central 2-0 Tigre
Tigre have managed to keep their last few matches close, but they have been virtually non-existent in the attacking third and rarely look dangerous in possession.
While Rosario have been relatively inconsistent from one match to the next, they have been much more decisive in front of goal lately, and we believe they will find a way through the visitors' backline.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.