Given their current position in the overall table, both sides will probably show plenty of desperation, but we do not believe that either team will have a decisive edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Independiente Rivadavia
46.16% ( -0.81)	28.22% ( 0.33)	25.62% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 43.4% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.09% (

-0.78)

61.91% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.33% (

-0.58)

81.67% (

0.58)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09% (

-0.76)

26.9% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.77% (

-1.02)

62.23% (

1.02)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.37% (

-0.01)

40.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.78% (

-0.01)

77.22% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 46.16%

Independiente Rivadavia 25.62%

Draw 28.21%

Sarmiento	Draw	Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.82% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.21%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.62%