Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 3, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Instituto2 - 1Gimnasia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, May 26 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 26 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-0 Banfield
Sunday, May 26 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 26 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Instituto 0-1 Gimnasia
Gimnasia have looked like a completely different side under Marcelo Mendez and are now unbeaten in their last four games across all competitions. Meanwhile, Instituto are without a win in their last two matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Gimnasia |
38.56% ( 0) | 29.41% ( 0.02) | 32.02% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.35% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
