Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Instituto1 - 3River Plate
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 3-2 Instituto
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Nacional
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
Instituto | Draw | River Plate |
19.86% ( -0.25) | 25.63% ( 0.13) | 54.51% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 43.99% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.11% ( -0.71) | 57.9% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% ( -0.57) | 78.61% ( 0.57) |
Instituto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.91% ( -0.7) | 44.09% ( 0.7) |