Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Belgrano win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	River Plate
16.69% ( -0.8)	23.35% ( -0.8)	59.96% ( 1.6)

Both teams to score 44.93% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.25% (

1.79)

53.75% (

-1.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.77% (

1.49)

75.23% (

-1.49)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.55% (

0.04)

45.45% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.71% (

0.04)

81.29% (

-0.04)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

1.25)

17.62% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79% (

2.13)

48.21% (

-2.13)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 16.69%

River Plate 59.96%

Draw 23.34%

Belgrano	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.69%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 13.9% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 12.07% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.28) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.96%