Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Vasco da Gama
68.22% ( 1.19)	19.08% ( -0.51)	12.69% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 48.22% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93% (

0.64)

44.06% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55% (

0.62)

66.44% (

-0.62)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.13% (

0.52)

11.87% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.83% (

1.09)

37.17% (

-1.1)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.71% (

-0.67)

45.29% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.84% (

-0.54)

81.16% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

River Plate 68.21%

Vasco da Gama 12.69%

Draw 19.08%

River Plate	Draw	Vasco da Gama
2-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 68.21%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.08%	0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.69%