Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.