Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.