Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Helsingborg had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Helsingborg win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.