Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 21

Sep 5, 2022 at 6.10pm UK

Ostgotaporten

Norrkoping
4 - 1
Hammarby

Sigurdsson (50' pen., 90+6' pen.), Ingvi Traustason (71'), Nyman (89')
Freyr Skulason (34'), Levi (86'), Nyman (89'), Wahlqvist (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Freyr Skulason (42' og.)
Ludwigson (83'), Blazevic (87'), Demirol (90+6')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Hammarby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
IFK Norrkoping	Draw	Hammarby
25.92% ( 1.28)	23.38% ( 0.12)	50.7% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01% (

0.61)

43% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

0.59)

65.4% (

-0.59)

IFK Norrkoping Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

1.35)

30.09% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

1.59)

66.23% (

-1.59)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

-0.29)

17.05% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.79% (

-0.51)

47.21% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

IFK Norrkoping 25.92%

Hammarby 50.7%

Draw 23.38%

IFK Norrkoping	Draw	Hammarby
2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.92%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 4% Total : 50.7%