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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Shrewsbury Town

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Mumbongo (15')
Morgan (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vela (25'), Pennington (44'), Cosgrove (45+2'), Nurse (62')

Preview: Accrington Stanley vs. Shrewsbury Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Shrewsbury Town will be hoping to build on their first league win of the season when they travel to Accrington Stanley on Saturday.

The Shrews got off the mark in League One last weekend and sit 22nd in the table, while Stanley are ninth.


Match preview

Steve Cotterill in charge of Birmingham City on February 11, 2018© Reuters

A superb overhead kick from 17-year-old Tom Bloxham and Sam Cosgrove's first goal for the club helped Shrewsbury come from behind to beat Gillingham 2-1 last Saturday.

It was a much-needed result for Steve Cotterill's team, who had lost their opening four league matches of the season without evening scoring a goal.

The Shrews will now look to kick on and move out of the relegation zone, with none of the four clubs directly above them in action this weekend.

Cotterill may have to lift spirits though, as the Shropshire outfit conceded in the 92nd-minute to lose 1-0 to Crewe Alexandra in the EFL Trophy in midweek.

General view outside Accrington Stanley's Crown Ground from August 2013© Reuters

Accrington were victorious in the same competition on Tuesday, beating Barrow on penalties after a 2-2 draw in normal time.

John Coleman's men have taken maximum points from their two home games in League One this season and are unbeaten in their previous five matches at the Wham Stadium.

After losing to Wycombe Wanderers on the opening day of the campaign, Stanley won three successive league matches before their run was halted by a 2-0 loss to MK Dons last weekend.

With a trip to early leaders Sunderland to come next Saturday, a victory would be vital in restoring confidence to Coleman's charges.

Both games between Accrington and Shrewsbury last season finished level, but Stanley have only won two of the last 12 meetings.

Accrington Stanley League One form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Accrington Stanley form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Shrewsbury Town League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Shrewsbury Town form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Accrington Stanley manager John Coleman watches on on January 26, 2019© Reuters

John Coleman made nine changes and gave his squad players a chance in Accrington's EFL Trophy game in midweek, but should revert to a more familiar XI on Saturday, bringing back the likes of Matt Butcher and Michael Nottingham.

Dion Charles, who scored 19 goals in League One last season but is yet to find the net this campaign, is away on international duty with Northern Ireland.

Ethan Hamilton and Jovan Malcolm both moved to the Wham Stadium on transfer deadline day, so will be eager to make their debuts.

Like his opposite number, Steve Cotterill also made nine changes in cup action in midweek but is likely to go back to the side that beat Gillingham last Saturday.

However, he will be without David Davis who was sent off late on against the Gills as well as backup goalkeeper Harry Burgoyne.

Davis' absence could allow Khanya Leshabela, on loan from Leicester City, to make his full league debut for the Shrews.

Accrington Stanley possible starting lineup:
Trafford; Sykes, Nottingham, Rodgers; Pritchard, Pell, Morgan, Butcher, McConville; Bishop, Mumbongo

Shrewsbury Town possible starting lineup:
Marosi; Bennett, Pierre, Ebanks-Landell, Nurse; Bloxham, Vela, Leshabela, Leahy; Cosgrove, Udoh


SM words green background

We say: Accrington Stanley 1-0 Shrewsbury Town

We think Accrington will return to winning ways back on home turf against a Shrewsbury side who have started the season poorly. Salop will want to show they have turned a corner after last weekend's victory, but they have not picked up consecutive wins since the start of February.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Accrington vs Shrewsbury

Accrington Stanley
88.6%
Draw
2.9%
Shrewsbury Town
8.6%
35
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