Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.