Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.