Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for KuPS in this match.