England1 - 2France
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, December 4 at 7pm in World Cup
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for England had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest England win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result | ||
England | Draw | France |
35.18% ( 0.02) | 27.13% ( 0.08) | 37.68% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( -0.31) | 54.93% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.78% ( -0.26) | 76.21% ( 0.25) |
England Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% ( -0.14) | 29.73% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% ( -0.17) | 65.79% ( 0.17) |
France Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -0.2) | 28.21% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( -0.26) | 63.91% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
England | Draw | France |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.68% |