Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.17%) and 3-2 (4.71%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
