MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:23:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
4 - 2
Pontypridd

Robles (4', 40', 88'), Williams (15' pen.)
Williams (18'), Hughes (78'), Cowans (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ahmun (13', 90+1')
Vincent (59'), Ahmun (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 2-0 Haverfordwest
Sunday, December 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPontypridd Town AFC
46.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 28.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.53% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)45.98% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)68.29% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)19.77% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)51.81% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)29.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.56% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 46.74%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 28.75%
    Draw 24.51%
Newtown AFCDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 28.75%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Pontypridd
1-4
Newtown
Rees (55')
Knott (19')
Robles (17', 43'), Williams (27' pen.), Cowans (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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