MX23RW : Friday, January 3 18:53:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Segunda Division | 2nd Leg
Jun 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Eibar logo

Alaves
2 - 0
Eibar

Rebbach (1'), Villalibre (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Eibar

All competitions
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

We said: Alaves 2-1 Eibar (Alaves to win 3-2 on aggregate)

 After playing out a 1-1 draw in the first leg, we expect Thursday's contest to be another close-fought encounter, but we think home advantage could prove decisive for an Alaves side that have lost just one league game at Mendizorroza this season, and as a result, we expect them to claim a narrow victory against Eibar in the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 28.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawEibar
40.22% (0.775 0.77) 30.83% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 28.96% (-0.846 -0.85)
Both teams to score 38.97% (-0.456 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.69% (-0.395 -0.4)68.31% (0.39699999999999 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.86% (-0.259 -0.26)86.14% (0.259 0.26)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (0.26600000000001 0.27)33.44% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.291 0.29)70.08% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (-0.924 -0.92)41.44% (0.924 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05% (-0.823 -0.82)77.95% (0.824 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 40.22%
    Eibar 28.95%
    Draw 30.82%
AlavesDrawEibar
1-0 @ 15.18% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.22%
0-0 @ 13.86% (0.21 0.21)
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.82%
0-1 @ 12.2% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Alaves vs Eibar

Alaves
82.1%
Draw
13.4%
Eibar
4.5%
67
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 5.30pm
Eibar
1-1
Alaves
Stoichkov (45+1')
Berrocal (30'), Blanco (40'), Munoz (48'), Arbilla (60')
Arbilla (73')
Sylla (9')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
gameweek 26
Alaves
2-0
Eibar
Villalibre (70', 90+2')
Nov 20, 2022 6pm
gameweek 16
Eibar
0-0
Alaves
May 1, 2021 1pm
gameweek 34
Eibar
3-0
Alaves
Kike (3', 50', 59')

Pina (44'), Battaglia (57')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2020 9pm
gameweek 15
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Mendez (41'), Deyverson (45+2')
Mendez (38'), Battaglia (56'), Pina (62'), Laguardia (89')
Leon (4')
Gil (81'), Arieta (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Almeria21116440291139
2MirandesMirandes21115525151038
3Racing de SantanderRacing2111552722538
4ElcheElche21106528151336
5Real Oviedo2110563329435
6Huesca219662920933
7Granada219663527833
8Levante208843023732
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon218672925430
10Malaga2161232119230
11Real ZaragozaZaragoza218583126529
12CastellonCastellon218583130129
13EibarEibar218492022-228
14CordobaCordoba217682833-527
15Albacete216872528-326
16Burgos217591825-726
17Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo206682927224
18CadizCadiz215882430-623
19Eldense2156102129-821
20Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol213991428-1418
21CartagenaCartagena2142151536-2114
22TenerifeTenerife1925121429-1511
> Segunda Division Full Table


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