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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Dundee logo

Hearts
3 - 0
Dundee

Vargas (35'), Forrest (53'), Shankland (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakayoko (45+3'), McCowan (57'), Donnelly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-0 Dundee

 Having failed to score in the last three matches, it is unlikely that Shankland stays quiet for much longer, meaning that Hearts have a good chance of victory on Saturday. Dundee's exceptional season is beginning to peter out, and we are expecting a third straight loss in the Premiership for the Dark Blues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee
53.09% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26) 22.56% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 24.35% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 59.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (-0.158 -0.16)40.68% (0.154 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93% (-0.161 -0.16)63.07% (0.158 0.16)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (-0.146 -0.15)15.37% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (-0.272 -0.27)44.14% (0.268 0.27)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.067999999999998 0.07)30.09% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08)66.23% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 53.09%
    Dundee 24.35%
    Draw 22.56%
HeartsDrawDundee
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.35%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee

Hearts
91.4%
Draw
2.9%
Dundee
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Dundee
2-3
Hearts
McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hearts
3-2
Dundee
Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')
McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
1-0
Hearts
McCowan (63')
Beck (39')

Oda (39')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
1-2
Dundee
Simms (21')
Sibbick (51' og.), Mullen (78')
Adam (40'), Rudden (66'), Byrne (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
0-1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1715204844447
2RangersRangers17112429111835
3Aberdeen1810443125634
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd187742720728
5St Mirren198382630-427
6Motherwell188282331-826
7Hibernian195682631-521
8Kilmarnock195682335-1221
9Dundee185492733-619
10Ross County194691735-1818
11Hearts1944112129-816
12St Johnstone1942132236-1414
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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