Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Santa Clara
With just three points separating Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara at the bottom of the table, we anticipate a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of a crucial victory. However, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.44% . A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%) . The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
Result Pacos de Ferreira Draw Santa Clara 40.44% ( 0.29) 27.8% ( 0.06) 31.76% ( -0.35)
Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.27)
41.96% ( -0.29) 58.04% ( 0.29)
21.28% ( -0.23) 78.72% ( 0.23)
71.88% ( 0.02) 28.12% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.2% ( 0.03) 63.8% ( -0.03)
66.4% ( -0.4) 33.6% ( 0.4)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.75% ( -0.44) 70.25% ( 0.44)
Pacos de Ferreira 40.43%
Santa Clara 31.75%
Draw 27.8%
Pacos de Ferreira Draw Santa Clara 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.43% 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.8% 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.75%
How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Santa Clara
Pacos de Ferreira
Draw
Santa Clara
31
rhs 2.0
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