Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Casa Pia2 - 1Pacos de Ferreira
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Boavista
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
While Pacos de Ferreira continue their relegation dogfight, Casa Pia head into Monday looking to get their quest for a place in Europe back on track. The Pacenses showed flashes of brilliance in last Sunday's loss to Boavista and we are backing them to hold out for a share of the spoils against the out-of-sorts hosts Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
48.3% ( 0.48) | 27.64% ( 0.09) | 24.05% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
