Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Benfica |
15.54% ( 0.91) | 21.42% ( 0.81) | 63.04% ( -1.72) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.9% ( -1.67) | 48.1% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.74% ( -1.55) | 70.26% ( 1.55) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.42% ( 0.24) | 43.58% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.22% ( 0.2) | 79.78% ( -0.2) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( -1.06) | 14.64% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.23% ( -2.08) | 42.77% ( 2.08) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.54% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.42% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |