Premier League | Gameweek 2
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton1 - 2Burnley
The Match
Match Report
Jacob Bruun Larsen scores a late winner as Burnley beat Luton Town 2-1 in the Premier League this evening.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
35.67% ( -0.53) | 26.87% ( -0.1) | 37.46% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% ( 0.38) | 53.86% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( 0.32) | 75.33% ( -0.31) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( -0.13) | 28.9% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.17) | 64.78% ( 0.17) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( 0.55) | 27.83% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.7) | 63.43% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 35.67%
Burnley 37.45%
Draw 26.87%
| Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.45% |
How you voted: Luton vs Burnley
Luton Town
34.2%Draw
31.7%Burnley
34.2%120
