Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.