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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Aston Villa

Both sides head into this fixture full of confidence after their respective performances last time out. However, we feel that these are two evenly-matched sides, and a low-scoring draw in a competitive fixture feels like the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
32.52% (-0.404 -0.4) 26.68% (0.124 0.12) 40.8% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.587 -0.59)53.54% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.498 -0.5)75.05% (0.495 0.5)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.563 -0.56)30.76% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.669 -0.67)67.02% (0.667 0.67)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.122 -0.12)25.82% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.166 -0.17)60.78% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 32.52%
    Aston Villa 40.8%
    Draw 26.67%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.8%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
52.4%
Draw
29.5%
Aston Villa
18.1%
288
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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