Nations League | League C
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia0 - 3Sweden
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estonia 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Estonia 1-3 Sweden
Sweden have only won three of their 10 away Nations League matches, but we still believe that they will take three points from Monday's fixture, having won each of their previous five meetings with Estonia, including a 5-0 victory in their most recent away encounter in September 2023. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Estonia win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
Result | ||
Estonia | Draw | Sweden |
23.38% ( 0.26) | 22.1% ( 0.34) | 54.52% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% ( -1.31) | 39.57% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.08% ( -1.38) | 61.92% ( 1.38) |
Estonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.72% ( -0.51) | 30.28% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.55% ( -0.61) | 66.45% ( 0.62) |
Sweden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.49% ( -0.63) | 14.5% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.49% ( -1.24) | 42.51% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Estonia 23.38%
Sweden 54.52%
Draw 22.1%
Estonia | Draw | Sweden |
2-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.38% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.52% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Sweden
Estonia
13.0%Draw
14.5%Sweden
72.5%131
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 6pm
Sep 9, 2023 5pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-14 06:45:07
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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