Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southend United win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for York City has a probability of 24.5% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest York City win is 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | York City |
51.48% ( 0.06) | 24.02% ( -0.02) | 24.5% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( 0.07) | 47.04% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.71% ( 0.06) | 69.29% ( -0.06) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( 0.05) | 18.28% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% ( 0.08) | 49.34% ( -0.07) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( 0.01) | 33.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( 0.01) | 70.04% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Rochdale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
5 | Gateshead | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
6 | Eastleigh | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Woking | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
16 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
18 | Boston UnitedBoston | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Tamworth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
23 | Fylde | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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