Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
41.81% (![]() | 25.47% (![]() | 32.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% (![]() | 48.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% (![]() | 70.58% (![]() |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% (![]() | 23.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% (![]() | 56.86% (![]() |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% (![]() | 28.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% (![]() | 63.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 88 |
2 | York City | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 74 | 37 | 37 | 77 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 72 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 66 |
5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Gateshead | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Rochdale | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 57 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 56 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 56 |
10 | Tamworth | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 54 |
11 | Eastleigh | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 53 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 51 |
13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 50 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
15 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
16 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 48 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 48 |
18 | Woking | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 42 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 42 |
20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 40 |
22 | Fylde | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 39 |
23 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 44 | 70 | -26 | 38 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 83 | -53 | 18 |
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