Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Solihull Moors |
29.85% ( -0.02) | 27.38% ( -0.01) | 42.76% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.91% ( 0.02) | 57.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.03% ( 0.01) | 77.97% ( -0.01) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.5% | 34.49% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.79% | 71.21% |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0.02) | 26.41% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% ( 0.03) | 61.58% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Solihull Moors |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.23% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 12.13% 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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