National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels4 - 1Torquay Utd
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Torquay United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-3 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
59
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Torquay United |
36.08% ( -0.29) | 24.67% ( 0.04) | 39.24% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( -0.21) | 44.17% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( -0.21) | 66.55% ( 0.2) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% ( -0.25) | 24.08% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.63% ( -0.36) | 58.37% ( 0.35) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( 0.03) | 22.43% ( -0.03) |