MX23RW : Monday, December 23 23:05:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
2 - 1
Hemel Hemps.

Ibie (62'), H. (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
J. (89' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-1 Dartford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawHemel Hempstead Town
52.73% (1.29 1.29) 24.65% (0.489 0.49) 22.62% (-1.778 -1.78)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-3.545 -3.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-3.691 -3.69)51.44% (3.689 3.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-3.309 -3.31)73.25% (3.31 3.31)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.91300000000001 -0.91)19.47% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-1.516 -1.52)51.33% (1.516 1.52)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-3.65 -3.65)37.54% (3.651 3.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-3.761 -3.76)74.32% (3.762 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 52.73%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.62%
    Draw 24.64%
AveleyDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.96% (1.37 1.37)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.864 0.86)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 7.31% (1.02 1.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.526 -0.53)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.461 -0.46)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.362 -0.36)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.62%

How you voted: Aveley vs Hemel Hemps.

Aveley
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd22127333191443
2Truro CityTruro City22125535201541
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood22117437181940
4Dorking WanderersDorking23117549311840
5Maidstone UnitedMaidstone22109335201539
6Weston-super-MareWeston22116534241039
7Worthing2211653430439
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2211653026439
9Farnborough TownFarnborough2211383534136
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels219842822635
11Slough TownSlough2296740291133
12Hampton & RichmondHampton228773124731
13AFC HornchurchHornchurch228772423131
14Chippenham TownChippenham2284102828028
15Chesham UnitedChesham218493035-528
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City216873532326
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2374122946-1725
18Salisbury2266103134-324
19Welling UnitedWelling United2273122440-1624
20Bath City2264121829-1122
21Aveley2243152542-1715
22Enfield Town2243152247-2515
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2228122238-1614
24Weymouth2127121230-1813


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