Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
