Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 6pm UK
Epet Arena
Sparta Prague4 - 1Dinamo Zagreb
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta Prague 3-1 MFK Karvina
Sunday, August 27 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Sunday, August 27 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Rijeka
Sunday, August 27 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, August 27 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
We said: Sparta Prague 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb to win 5-2 on aggregate)
The onus is on Sparta Prague to take the game to Dinamo Zagreb on home soil and show a greater threat in the final third if they are to overturn the two-goal deficit. However, the visitors appear to have turned a corner since the appointment of Jakirovic and we expect the Croatian side to come away with another victory to book their place in the Europa League group stage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
49.81% ( -0.04) | 24.06% ( 0) | 26.13% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
