Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Luminus Arena
Genk1 - 1Olympiacos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-1 Genk
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Genk
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Genk 1-1 Olympiacos (Olympiacos to win 2-1 on aggregate)
Although Genk were able to get back to winning ways at the weekend, it remains to be seen whether their hectic schedule will benefit or hinder them against opponents who have played fewer competitive fixtures. For us, Olympiacos will be well-rested for this game and that could prove to be the difference. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Olympiacos |
50.1% ( 0.5) | 23.85% ( 0.02) | 26.06% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
