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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
50.06% | 24.91% | 25.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% (![]() | 50.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% (![]() | 72.27% (![]() |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% (![]() | 20.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% (![]() | 52.37% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% (![]() | 34.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% (![]() | 71.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 11.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Heidenheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | St Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |