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League One
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (58'), Reid (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bayliss (45+5'), Winchester (74'), Kenneh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Watford (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Shrewsbury
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury Town

 Just like a season ago, the Boro have been creating surprises, and we believe they will be able to frustrate the Shrews on Saturday and find another way to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
58.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 23.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 17.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (0.012 0.01)53.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)18.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)44.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)80.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 58.93%
    Shrewsbury Town 17.4%
    Draw 23.66%
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.4%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-2
Stevenage
Collins (22', 88'), Lawrence (24' pen.)
Knight-Percival (60'), Goldson (79')
Marriott (10'), Wells (42')
Pett (8'), Henry (32'), Lee (93')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Shrewsbury
Charles (36')
Lee (17'), Pett (67'), Henry (75')

Woods (80'), Griffith (83'), Goldson (85')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Stevenage
Taylor (57')
Jacobson (14'), Hall (45')
Hall (83')

Reid (10'), Obeng (61'), Freeman (62'), Zoko (76'), Smith (90')
Nov 30, 2013 3pm
Stevenage
1-3
Shrewsbury
Zoko (24')
Reach (35'), Eaves (38'), Jacobson (51')
Feb 23, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-1
Stevenage
Parry (31'), Morgan (86')
Jacobson (66')
Dunne (20')
Gray (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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