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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 17, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
3 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
26.38%29.62%43.99%
Both teams to score 40.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.19%65.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.55%84.45%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8%42.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4%78.6%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 26.38%
    Nagoya Grampus 43.99%
    Draw 29.61%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 26.38%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 12.63%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.61%
0-1 @ 15.23%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.11%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head

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Apr 18, 2021 7am
gameweek 10
1-2
Inagaki (85')
Nagasawa (44')
Hayashi (6'), Sakai (45')
Hayashi (24'), Iino (31')
Nov 3, 2020 4am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Xavier (85')
Jul 18, 2020 10am
Gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Maeda (62')
Nakatani (55'), Yoshida (83')

Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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