Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Ratchaburi had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Ratchaburi win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.