MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 17:19:13| >> :60:119:119:
Bahrain national football team
International Friendly
Nov 18, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
Serbia national football team

Bahrain
1 - 5
Serbia

Yusuf (15' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tadic (8', 50'), Vlahovic (51'), Duricic (87'), Jovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Bahrain and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 0-2 Serbia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Bahrain 0-2 Serbia

Bahrain performed well against Canada, but Serbia should be a much tougher challenge, and we see Stojkovic and co establishing their dominance ahead of their bid to go deep into the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
BahrainDrawSerbia
30.56% (-0.206 -0.21) 25.49% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 43.95% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.334 -0.33)49.31% (0.337 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.301 -0.3)71.36% (0.307 0.31)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.30999999999999 -0.31)29.96% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.378 -0.38)66.08% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)22.38% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.107 -0.11)55.89% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bahrain 30.56%
    Serbia 43.94%
    Draw 25.48%
BahrainDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.94%

How you voted: Bahrain vs Serbia

Bahrain
7.5%
Draw
11.2%
Serbia
81.3%
107
rhs 2.0
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