Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
